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The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights The Williams Companies, Berkshire Hathaway and Coca Cola Femsa
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For Immediate Release
Chicago, IL – October 10, 2022 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: The Williams Companies (WMB - Free Report) , Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B - Free Report) and Coca Cola Femsa (KOF - Free Report) .
Here are highlights from Friday’s Analyst Blog:
Don't Worry About a Recession: Zacks October Market Strategy
To early October 2022 has handed in a hefty U.S. stock market correction.
2023 is the forward look, now, in terms of stock market fundamentals, like earnings and revenue growth.
Maybe even 2024, in part.
Were the following 2022 share pullbacks anticipated recession declines?
DJIA (YTD -16.7% on Oct. 6th)
S&P500 (YTD -20.6%), and
Nasdaq (YTD -29.8%)
Perhaps.
However, for the worriers out there…
Next, I quote what “See It Market” put down, after its review of the last 80 years —
“There have been eleven recessions since the late 1940s, coincidentally with an average duration of eleven months.”
“Interestingly, the average price return of the S&P500 during these recessions was around 0%.”
“Now much can be hidden in an average. The last recession (aka global financial crisis) had markets down -37% once the recession started until it ended.”
“But during others, the market actually rose. In fact, in six of the eleven recessions the S&P500 rose.”
“In many cases most of the pain is felt before the recession actually begins.”
In light of that carefully worded comment, respecting the relevant history and facts, that doesn’t make 2023 sound scary, for savvy stock market traders and investors.
Also, with that precise language and careful review of pertinent facts, in mind, consider the latest Zacks October Market Strategy report “fair value” set-up.
Top-Down S&P500 Year-end 2022 Targets
To Oct. 4th, the S&P500 YTD loss stood at -22.8%. To Sept. 1st, the loss was -17.8%. To Aug.1st, the YTD loss was -13.6%. July 1st, 2022, the YTD loss was -20.7%. To June 1st, it was -13.3%.
All three prior years recorded well above average annual S&P500 returns:
In 2021, the annual S&P500 share gain was +26.9%
In 2020, the gain was +18.4%
In 2019, the gain was +28.9%
The historical expected annual return (using data from 1930 to 2021)? This is +7.9%. In short, blunting prospects for 2022, big share gains got booked across 3 prior years.
Next, a table shows Zacks’ updated views on 2022, 2023, and 2024 S&P500 earnings and “fair value” index calculations.
Label any excess over Zacks “Fair Value,” compared to the current S&P500 index price, as the “Fed or G10 Money Printing” effect, and an excess COVID savings effect.
After the selloff, large-cap U.S. index valuations are respectful of recent history, now.
Zacks October Sector/Industry/Company Telescope
It will be interesting to see what changes, after Q3 S&P500 EPS reports come out.
Entering October, the Zacks Industry Ranks offer three Very Attractive sectors: Energy again. New strength was seen in both Financials and Consumer Staples.
Insurance looks great, and Banks & Thrifts prospects rise with interest rates. Beverages and Tobacco use are strong, as the Leisure Industries remain attractive.
Health Care and Industrials are the Market Weights this month.
Consumer Discretionary fell to Unattractive. But Leisure Services, Apparel and Nonfood Retail continue to hold up.
Materials rose to become an Unattractive industry. Chemicals and Building Products are solid.
Info Tech fell to Unattractive. The critical Semi industry looks terrible.
Utilities fell to Very Unattractive. Both Water Supply and Telephone are poor now.
(1) Energyv stays the top sector, remaining firmly at Very Attractive. Tops are Oil Misc. industries, Oil & Gas Exploration and Production, and the big Integrated plays.
Top Zacks #1 Rank (STRONG BUY) Stock: The Williams Companies
(2) Financials moved up to Very Attractive from Attractive. Insurance is clearly the best now. Banks & Thrifts got an upgrade. 2023 recession worry remains relevant to this space.
Top Zacks #1 Rank (STRONG BUY) Stock: Berkshire Hathaway
(3) Consumer Staples rose to Very Attractive from Market Weight. Beverages and Tobacco look the best now. Agri-business is attractive again.
Top Zacks #1 Rank (STRONG BUY) Stock: Coca Cola Femsa
(4) Industrials fell to Market Weight from Attractive. Metal Fabricating is tops. Pollution control is solid. Transport fell to Market Weight. Business Services is also Market Weight.
(5) Health Care stays a Market Weight. Medical Care and Drugs look relatively better.
(6) Communications Services stays at Market Weight. Telco Equipment and Telco Services look about the same now. Market Weight for both.
(7) Consumer Discretionary fell to Unattractive from Market Weight. Leisure Services looks the best. Apparel and Nonfood Retail are solid again. Publishing is terrible.
(8) Info Tech fell to Unattractive from Market Weight. Electronics looks OK. Computer Software-Services is at market. Semis look terrible.
(9) Materials rose to Unattractive from Very Unattractive. Chemicals and Building Products look the best, at market weight.
(10) Utilities fell to Very Unattractive from Market Weight. Utilities-Water Supply and Utility-Telephone look poor.
My October 2022 Conclusion
One of the hardest things for always-worried stock market investors to grasp?
How quickly stock markets move, and in a corollary statement, how fast these same stock markets put critical fundamental matters in their rear-view mirror.
If you are worried about a 2023 U.S. recession in output, employment and earnings, that is likely already factored into stock prices.
Now!
What you should worry about?
Likely something else, entirely.
Or just get bullish, and take advantage of these cheap valuations.
These are share markets where savvy investors can make a lot of money.
Enjoy the rest of my Zacks OCT Market Strategy report.
Warm Regards,
John Blank
Zacks Chief Equity Strategist and Economist
Zacks Names "Single Best Pick to Double"
From thousands of stocks, 5 Zacks experts each have chosen their favorite to skyrocket +100% or more in months to come. From those 5, Director of Research Sheraz Mian hand-picks one to have the most explosive upside of all.
It’s a little-known chemical company that’s up 65% over last year, yet still dirt cheap. With unrelenting demand, soaring 2022 earnings estimates, and $1.5 billion for repurchasing shares, retail investors could jump in at any time.
This company could rival or surpass other recent Zacks’ Stocks Set to Double like Boston Beer Company which shot up +143.0% in little more than 9 months and NVIDIA which boomed +175.9% in one year.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit https://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.
See More Zacks Research for These Tickers
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The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights The Williams Companies, Berkshire Hathaway and Coca Cola Femsa
For Immediate Release
Chicago, IL – October 10, 2022 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: The Williams Companies (WMB - Free Report) , Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B - Free Report) and Coca Cola Femsa (KOF - Free Report) .
Here are highlights from Friday’s Analyst Blog:
Don't Worry About a Recession: Zacks October Market Strategy
The following is an excerpt from Zacks Chief Strategist John Blank’s full Oct Market Strategy reportTo access the full PDF, click here.
Introducing History to the Worriers
To early October 2022 has handed in a hefty U.S. stock market correction.
2023 is the forward look, now, in terms of stock market fundamentals, like earnings and revenue growth.
Maybe even 2024, in part.
Were the following 2022 share pullbacks anticipated recession declines?
Perhaps.
However, for the worriers out there…
Next, I quote what “See It Market” put down, after its review of the last 80 years —
“There have been eleven recessions since the late 1940s, coincidentally with an average duration of eleven months.”
“But during others, the market actually rose. In fact, in six of the eleven recessions the S&P500 rose.”
“In many cases most of the pain is felt before the recession actually begins.”
In light of that carefully worded comment, respecting the relevant history and facts, that doesn’t make 2023 sound scary, for savvy stock market traders and investors.
Also, with that precise language and careful review of pertinent facts, in mind, consider the latest Zacks October Market Strategy report “fair value” set-up.
Top-Down S&P500 Year-end 2022 Targets
To Oct. 4th, the S&P500 YTD loss stood at -22.8%. To Sept. 1st, the loss was -17.8%. To Aug.1st, the YTD loss was -13.6%. July 1st, 2022, the YTD loss was -20.7%. To June 1st, it was -13.3%.
All three prior years recorded well above average annual S&P500 returns:
The historical expected annual return (using data from 1930 to 2021)? This is +7.9%. In short, blunting prospects for 2022, big share gains got booked across 3 prior years.
Next, a table shows Zacks’ updated views on 2022, 2023, and 2024 S&P500 earnings and “fair value” index calculations.
Label any excess over Zacks “Fair Value,” compared to the current S&P500 index price, as the “Fed or G10 Money Printing” effect, and an excess COVID savings effect.
After the selloff, large-cap U.S. index valuations are respectful of recent history, now.
Zacks October Sector/Industry/Company Telescope
It will be interesting to see what changes, after Q3 S&P500 EPS reports come out.
Entering October, the Zacks Industry Ranks offer three Very Attractive sectors: Energy again. New strength was seen in both Financials and Consumer Staples.
Insurance looks great, and Banks & Thrifts prospects rise with interest rates. Beverages and Tobacco use are strong, as the Leisure Industries remain attractive.
Health Care and Industrials are the Market Weights this month.
Consumer Discretionary fell to Unattractive. But Leisure Services, Apparel and Nonfood Retail continue to hold up.
Materials rose to become an Unattractive industry. Chemicals and Building Products are solid.
Info Tech fell to Unattractive. The critical Semi industry looks terrible.
Utilities fell to Very Unattractive. Both Water Supply and Telephone are poor now.
(1) Energyv stays the top sector, remaining firmly at Very Attractive. Tops are Oil Misc. industries, Oil & Gas Exploration and Production, and the big Integrated plays.
Top Zacks #1 Rank (STRONG BUY) Stock: The Williams Companies
(2) Financials moved up to Very Attractive from Attractive. Insurance is clearly the best now. Banks & Thrifts got an upgrade. 2023 recession worry remains relevant to this space.
Top Zacks #1 Rank (STRONG BUY) Stock: Berkshire Hathaway
(3) Consumer Staples rose to Very Attractive from Market Weight. Beverages and Tobacco look the best now. Agri-business is attractive again.
Top Zacks #1 Rank (STRONG BUY) Stock: Coca Cola Femsa
(4) Industrials fell to Market Weight from Attractive. Metal Fabricating is tops. Pollution control is solid. Transport fell to Market Weight. Business Services is also Market Weight.
(5) Health Care stays a Market Weight. Medical Care and Drugs look relatively better.
(6) Communications Services stays at Market Weight. Telco Equipment and Telco Services look about the same now. Market Weight for both.
(7) Consumer Discretionary fell to Unattractive from Market Weight. Leisure Services looks the best. Apparel and Nonfood Retail are solid again. Publishing is terrible.
(8) Info Tech fell to Unattractive from Market Weight. Electronics looks OK. Computer Software-Services is at market. Semis look terrible.
(9) Materials rose to Unattractive from Very Unattractive. Chemicals and Building Products look the best, at market weight.
(10) Utilities fell to Very Unattractive from Market Weight. Utilities-Water Supply and Utility-Telephone look poor.
My October 2022 Conclusion
One of the hardest things for always-worried stock market investors to grasp?
How quickly stock markets move, and in a corollary statement, how fast these same stock markets put critical fundamental matters in their rear-view mirror.
If you are worried about a 2023 U.S. recession in output, employment and earnings, that is likely already factored into stock prices.
Now!
What you should worry about?
Likely something else, entirely.
Or just get bullish, and take advantage of these cheap valuations.
These are share markets where savvy investors can make a lot of money.
Enjoy the rest of my Zacks OCT Market Strategy report.
Warm Regards,
John Blank
Zacks Chief Equity Strategist and Economist
Zacks Names "Single Best Pick to Double"
From thousands of stocks, 5 Zacks experts each have chosen their favorite to skyrocket +100% or more in months to come. From those 5, Director of Research Sheraz Mian hand-picks one to have the most explosive upside of all.
It’s a little-known chemical company that’s up 65% over last year, yet still dirt cheap. With unrelenting demand, soaring 2022 earnings estimates, and $1.5 billion for repurchasing shares, retail investors could jump in at any time.
This company could rival or surpass other recent Zacks’ Stocks Set to Double like Boston Beer Company which shot up +143.0% in little more than 9 months and NVIDIA which boomed +175.9% in one year.
Free: See Our Top Stock and 4 Runners Up >>
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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit https://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.